Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow
The most recent Free Cash Flow (TTM) value is
2.45B
as of Jun 30, 2023.
We will project this out 5 years with a yearly growth
rate of
0.68%.
Starting with 2.45B and growing at 0.68%
for 5 years, we estimate Free Cash Flow will be
2.53B.
Step 2: Project Future Diluted Shares Outstanding
The most recent Diluted Shares Outstanding value is 786.8M.
We will project this out 5 year(s) with a growth rate
of 0.59%.
Estimated Diluted Shares Outstanding: 810.28M.
Step 3: Project Future Stock Price
Using a price ratio of 27.78, formula: (Future Free Cash Flow ÷ Future Diluted Shares Outstanding)
× Price Ratio
(2.53B ÷ 810.28M) × 27.78 =
$86
Step 4: Project Future Dividends Paid
Forward dividend per share: $0.
Projected over 5 years with a growth rate of
n/a, dividends add to total shareholder return.
Expected dividends in 5 years:
$0.
Step 5: Discount the Projected Stock Price
Projected stock price: $86.
Including dividends, total future value: $86.
Discounted at 10% per
year over 5 years → Fair Value:
$53.
