Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow
The most recent Free Cash Flow (TTM) value is
-1.4B
as of Sep 30, 2022.
We will project this out 5 years with a yearly growth
rate of
0%.
Starting with -1.4B and growing at 0%
for 5 years, we estimate Free Cash Flow will be
-1.4B.
Step 2: Project Future Diluted Shares Outstanding
The most recent Diluted Shares Outstanding value is 447.28K.
We will project this out 5 year(s) with a growth rate
of 31.55%.
Estimated Diluted Shares Outstanding: 1.76M.
Step 3: Project Future Stock Price
Using a price ratio of -0.45, formula: (Future Free Cash Flow ÷ Future Diluted Shares Outstanding)
× Price Ratio
(-1.4B ÷ 1.76M) × -0.45 =
$357
Step 4: Project Future Dividends Paid
Forward dividend per share: $0.
Projected over 5 years with a growth rate of
n/a, dividends add to total shareholder return.
Expected dividends in 5 years:
$0.
Step 5: Discount the Projected Stock Price
Projected stock price: $357.
Including dividends, total future value: $357.
Discounted at 10% per
year over 5 years → Fair Value:
$221.
