AI Score
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to predict the probability of a bullish trend over the next three months.
We regularly update and refine our models to deliver the most reliable forecasts
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Bullish Probability | Sentiment | Score |
---|---|---|
+80% | Strong Buy | 10 |
+75% | Buy | 9 |
+70% | Buy | 8 |
+60% | Buy | 7 |
+50% | Hold | 6 |
+45% | Hold | 5 |
+40% | Hold | 4 |
+35% | Sell | 3 |
+30% | Sell | 2 |
+20% | Strong Sell | 1 |
El Pollo Loco Statistics
Share Statistics
El Pollo Loco has 29.94M shares outstanding. The number of shares has increased by -4.3% in one year.
Shares Outstanding | 29.94M |
Shares Change (YoY) | n/a |
Shares Change (QoQ) | 0.04% |
Owned by Institutions (%) | n/a |
Shares Floating | 25.51M |
Failed to Deliver (FTD) Shares | 372 |
FTD / Avg. Volume | 0.18% |
Short Selling Information
The latest short interest is 1.64M, so 5.47% of the outstanding shares have been sold short.
Short Interest | 1.64M |
Short % of Shares Out | 5.47% |
Short % of Float | 6.41% |
Short Ratio (days to cover) | 9.78 |
Valuation Ratios
The PE ratio is 12.13 and the forward PE ratio is 13.86. El Pollo Loco 's PEG ratio is 0.24.
PE Ratio | 12.13 |
Forward PE | 13.86 |
PS Ratio | 0.66 |
Forward PS | 0.7 |
PB Ratio | 1.24 |
P/FCF Ratio | 16.02 |
PEG Ratio | 0.24 |
Enterprise Valuation
El Pollo Loco Inc. has an Enterprise Value (EV) of 576.04M.
EV / Earnings | 22.54 |
EV / Sales | 1.23 |
EV / EBITDA | 10.46 |
EV / EBIT | 14.48 |
EV / FCF | 29.76 |
Financial Position
The company has a current ratio of 0.35, with a Debt / Equity ratio of 0.34.
Current Ratio | 0.35 |
Quick Ratio | 0.32 |
Debt / Equity | 0.34 |
Total Debt / Capitalization | 25.1 |
Cash Flow / Debt | 0.48 |
Interest Coverage | 8.27 |
Financial Efficiency
Return on equity (ROE) is 0.1% and return on capital (ROIC) is 5.56%.
Return on Equity (ROE) | 0.1% |
Return on Assets (ROA) | 0.04% |
Return on Capital (ROIC) | 5.56% |
Revenue Per Employee | 117.17K |
Profits Per Employee | 6.39K |
Employee Count | 4.00K |
Asset Turnover | 0.79 |
Inventory Turnover | 196.39 |
Taxes
Income Tax | 9.32M |
Effective Tax Rate | 0.27 |
Stock Price Statistics
The stock price has increased by 33.03% in the last 52 weeks. The beta is 1.44, so El Pollo Loco 's price volatility has been higher than the market average.
Beta | 1.44 |
52-Week Price Change | 33.03% |
50-Day Moving Average | 12.14 |
200-Day Moving Average | 11.68 |
Relative Strength Index (RSI) | 47.58 |
Average Volume (20 Days) | 204.24K |
Income Statement
In the last 12 months, El Pollo Loco had revenue of 468.66M and earned 25.55M in profits. Earnings per share was 0.75.
Revenue | 468.66M |
Gross Profit | 93.37M |
Operating Income | 39.79M |
Net Income | 25.55M |
EBITDA | 55.09M |
EBIT | 39.79M |
Earnings Per Share (EPS) | 0.75 |
Balance Sheet
The company has 7.29M in cash and 273.33M in debt, giving a net cash position of -266.04M.
Cash & Cash Equivalents | 7.29M |
Total Debt | 273.33M |
Net Cash | -266.04M |
Retained Earnings | 13.96M |
Total Assets | 589.97M |
Working Capital | -52.10M |
Cash Flow
In the last 12 months, operating cash flow was 40.69M and capital expenditures -21.33M, giving a free cash flow of 19.36M.
Operating Cash Flow | 40.69M |
Capital Expenditures | -21.33M |
Free Cash Flow | 19.36M |
FCF Per Share | 0.57 |
Margins
Gross margin is 19.92%, with operating and profit margins of 8.49% and 5.45%.
Gross Margin | 19.92% |
Operating Margin | 8.49% |
Pretax Margin | 7.44% |
Profit Margin | 5.45% |
EBITDA Margin | 11.76% |
EBIT Margin | 8.49% |
FCF Margin | 4.13% |
Dividends & Yields
LOCO does not appear to pay any dividends at this time.
Dividend Per Share | n/a |
Dividend Yield | n/a |
Dividend Growth (YoY) | n/a |
Payout Ratio | n/a |
Earnings Yield | 6.44% |
FCF Yield | 5.55% |
Analyst Forecast
The average price target for LOCO is $13, which is 11.7% higher than the current price. The consensus rating is "Hold".
Price Target | $13 |
Price Target Difference | 11.7% |
Analyst Consensus | Hold |
Analyst Count | 2 |
Scores
Altman Z-Score | 1.6 |
Piotroski F-Score | 6 |