Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow
The most recent Free Cash Flow (TTM) value is
40.15B
as of Jun 30, 2024.
We will project this out 5 years with a yearly growth
rate of
7.02%.
Starting with 40.15B and growing at 7.02%
for 5 years, we estimate Free Cash Flow will be
56.36B.
Step 2: Project Future Diluted Shares Outstanding
The most recent Diluted Shares Outstanding value is 1.69B.
We will project this out 5 year(s) with a growth rate
of -1.85%.
Estimated Diluted Shares Outstanding: 1.54B.
Step 3: Project Future Stock Price
Using a price ratio of 0.16, formula: (Future Free Cash Flow ÷ Future Diluted Shares Outstanding)
× Price Ratio
(56.36B ÷ 1.54B) × 0.16 =
$5
Step 4: Project Future Dividends Paid
Forward dividend per share: $0.
Projected over 5 years with a growth rate of
n/a, dividends add to total shareholder return.
Expected dividends in 5 years:
$0.
Step 5: Discount the Projected Stock Price
Projected stock price: $5.
Including dividends, total future value: $5.
Discounted at 10% per
year over 5 years → Fair Value:
$3.
