Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow
The most recent Free Cash Flow (TTM) value is
-133.45M
as of Dec 31, 2023.
We will project this out 5 years with a yearly growth
rate of
0%.
Starting with -133.45M and growing at 0%
for 5 years, we estimate Free Cash Flow will be
-133.45M.
Step 2: Project Future Diluted Shares Outstanding
The most recent Diluted Shares Outstanding value is 83.46M.
We will project this out 5 year(s) with a growth rate
of 4.88%.
Estimated Diluted Shares Outstanding: 105.91M.
Step 3: Project Future Stock Price
Using a price ratio of -17.7, formula: (Future Free Cash Flow ÷ Future Diluted Shares Outstanding)
× Price Ratio
(-133.45M ÷ 105.91M) × -17.7 =
$22
Step 4: Project Future Dividends Paid
Forward dividend per share: $0.
Projected over 5 years with a growth rate of
n/a, dividends add to total shareholder return.
Expected dividends in 5 years:
$0.
Step 5: Discount the Projected Stock Price
Projected stock price: $22.
Including dividends, total future value: $22.
Discounted at 10% per
year over 5 years → Fair Value:
$13.
