Step 1: Project Free Cash Flow
The most recent Free Cash Flow (TTM) value is
17.14M
as of Mar 31, 2023.
We will project this out 5 years with a yearly growth
rate of
19.69%.
Starting with 17.14M and growing at 19.69%
for 5 years, we estimate Free Cash Flow will be
42.09M.
Step 2: Project Future Diluted Shares Outstanding
The most recent Diluted Shares Outstanding value is 2.24M.
We will project this out 5 year(s) with a growth rate
of -1.4%.
Estimated Diluted Shares Outstanding: 2.08M.
Step 3: Project Future Stock Price
Using a price ratio of 2.69, formula: (Future Free Cash Flow ÷ Future Diluted Shares Outstanding)
× Price Ratio
(42.09M ÷ 2.08M) × 2.69 =
$54
Step 4: Project Future Dividends Paid
Forward dividend per share: $0.
Projected over 5 years with a growth rate of
n/a, dividends add to total shareholder return.
Expected dividends in 5 years:
$0.
Step 5: Discount the Projected Stock Price
Projected stock price: $54.
Including dividends, total future value: $54.
Discounted at 10% per
year over 5 years → Fair Value:
$33.
