Assured Guaranty Statistics

Share Statistics

Assured Guaranty has 49.09M shares outstanding. The number of shares has increased by -6.73% in one year.

Shares Outstanding	49.09M
Shares Change (YoY)	-6.73%
Shares Change (QoQ)	-1.66%
Owned by Institutions (%)	96.93%
Shares Floating	46.03M
Failed to Deliver (FTD) Shares	20,406
FTD / Avg. Volume	6.06%

Short Selling Information

The latest short interest is 1.06M, so 2.17% of the outstanding shares have been sold short.

Short Interest	1.06M
Short % of Shares Out	2.17%
Short % of Float	3.84%
Short Ratio (days to cover)	3.21

Valuation Ratios

The PE ratio is 12.76 and the forward PE ratio is 11.58. Assured Guaranty's PEG ratio is -0.3.

PE Ratio	12.76
Forward PE	11.58
PS Ratio	5.89
Forward PS	5.1
PB Ratio	0.87
P/FCF Ratio	102.08
PEG Ratio	-0.3

Financial Ratio History

Enterprise Valuation

Assured Guaranty has an Enterprise Value (EV) of 6.38B.

EV / Sales	7.83
EV / EBITDA	12.33
EV / EBIT	135.65
EV / FCF	135.65

Financial Position

The company has a current ratio of 16.65, with a Debt / Equity ratio of 0.31.

Current Ratio	16.65
Quick Ratio	16.65
Debt / Equity	0.31
Debt / EBITDA	3.29
Debt / FCF	36.15
Interest Coverage	5.85

Financial Efficiency

Return on Equity is 6.84% and Return on Invested Capital is 6.63%.

Return on Equity	6.84%
Return on Assets	3.16%
Return on Invested Capital	6.63%
Revenue Per Employee	$2.25M
Profits Per Employee	$1.04M
Employee Count	361
Asset Turnover	0.07
Inventory Turnover	n/a

Taxes

Income Tax	96M
Effective Tax Rate	19.67%

Stock Price Statistics

The stock price has increased by 9.92% in the last 52 weeks. The beta is 0.86, so Assured Guaranty's price volatility has been higher than the market average.

Beta	0.86
52-Week Price Change	9.92%
50-Day Moving Average	84.63
200-Day Moving Average	87.28
Relative Strength Index (RSI)	39.47
Average Volume (20 Days)	336,727

Income Statement

In the last 12 months, Assured Guaranty had revenue of 814M and earned 376M in profits. Earnings per share was 7.23.

Revenue	814M
Gross Profit	794M
Operating Income	532M
Net Income	376M
EBITDA	517M
EBIT	579M
Earnings Per Share (EPS)	7.23

Full Income Statement

Balance Sheet

The company has 121M in cash and 1.7B in debt, giving a net cash position of -1.58B.

Cash & Cash Equivalents	121M
Total Debt	1.7B
Net Cash	-1.58B
Retained Earnings	5.88B
Total Assets	11.94B
Working Capital	n/a

Full Balance Sheet

Cash Flow

In the last 12 months, operating cash flow was 47M and capital expenditures 0, giving a free cash flow of 47M.

Operating Cash Flow	47M
Capital Expenditures	n/a
Free Cash Flow	47M
FCF Per Share	0.88

Full Cash Flow Statement

Margins

Gross margin is 97.54%, with operating and profit margins of 65.36% and 46.19%.

Gross Margin	97.54%
Operating Margin	65.36%
Pretax Margin	59.95%
Profit Margin	46.19%
EBITDA Margin	63.51%
EBIT Margin	65.36%
FCF Margin	5.77%

Dividends & Yields

AGO pays an annual dividend of $1.64, which amounts to a dividend yield of 1.62%.

Dividend Per Share	$1.64
Dividend Yield	1.62%
Dividend Growth (YoY)	9.68%
Payout Ratio	19.48%
Earnings Yield	7.84%
FCF Yield	0.98%

Dividend Details

Analyst Forecast

The average price target for AGO is $100, which is 21.8% higher than the current price. The consensus rating is "Hold".

Price Target	$100
Price Target Difference	21.8%
Analyst Consensus	Hold
Analyst Count	2

Stock Forecasts

Fair Value

There are several formulas that can be used to estimate the intrinsic value of a stock.

Lynch Fair Value	$82.21
Lynch Upside	0.15%
Graham Number	127.92
Graham Upside	55.83%

Scores

Altman Z-Score	1.24
Piotroski F-Score	5

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)