GEO Group Inc. (GEO)
GEO Max Pain By Strike
GEO trades at $21.02, 8.6% below the near-term max pain of $23 expiring Aug 15, 2025 (0 days). Look for upward drift as max pain acts as a magnet pulling price higher. Max pain is falling across expirations ($17-$23.5), signaling increased put positioning or downside protection. Key magnetic zone at 22 where 4 expirations converge. High dispersion in max pain levels suggests competing forces and potential volatility.
GEO Max Pain By Expiry
Max pain for GEO shows a downward trend from 23.5 to 17, indicating bearish sentiment or hedging activity. The 30% spread signals divergent expectations across timeframes. Levels distributed around 21.02. Strong magnetic level at 22 (4 expirations). Weekly expirations influence price 2-3 days before expiry; monthlies throughout their final week.
Max Pain Table
| Expiration Date | Max Pain | Max Pain vs Current Price |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | 23 | 1.98 (9.42%) |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 20.5 | -0.52 (-2.47%) |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 22 | 0.98 (4.66%) |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 23.5 | 2.48 (11.80%) |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 21.5 | 0.48 (2.28%) |
| Sep 19, 2025 | 23 | 1.98 (9.42%) |
| Sep 26, 2025 | 21.5 | 0.48 (2.28%) |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 23 | 1.98 (9.42%) |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 23 | 1.98 (9.42%) |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 22 | 0.98 (4.66%) |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 20 | -1.02 (-4.85%) |
| Apr 17, 2026 | 18 | -3.02 (-14.37%) |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 17 | -4.02 (-19.12%) |